Opinion

Leading global macro and geopolitical research house BCA has delivered another consensus challenging research piece this week. Writing in a paper titled ‘Solved: The Mystery of the Oil Price and Inflation Expectations’ challenges the current nature and ballooning expectations of inflation. Drawing on the work of Nobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman, the paper highlights the…

Despite the media hype surrounding last week’s US rate hike, interest rates are going up but not as fast or as damaging as everyone thinks. The RBA upped rates for the first time in over 11 years by 25bps to 0.35 percent from 0.10 percent. Roughly a $65 a month increase, on a twenty-five year…

March stands out as being one of the most difficult periods for investors in a generation. On the one hand, bond markets send fixed income to its worst return in more decades, and on the other, equity markets were sold off broadly on valuation concerns as bond yields ended a forty-year downward trend. It is…

“Whatever you are thinking might be the trigger of a potential correction today, you are quite likely to be wrong” explains Michael Hampden-Turner, Director of Fixed Income at FTSE Russell in a recent blog post discussing the recession predicting capabilities of the yield curve. Headlines have been dominated by the undeniable fact and historic analysis…

White noise is broadly defined as the combination of sounds of all different frequencies together, typically being used to mask other sounds. Among the most common uses of white noise is to help babies (and adults) sleep without background noise. Whilst highly powerful for this purpose, one could easily make the opposite conclusion when it…

It’s not quite a 1980’s style corporate raider attempt, but it’s pretty darn close. Australia’s 4th richest man is trying to disrupt the dissembling of the country’s largest energy generator and retailer. After previously trying to buy the whole company twice, MikeCannon–Brookes, through his holding company Grok Ventures, has effectively secured 11% of AGLEnergyLimited (ASX:…

In the US, corporate earnings season is in full swing, and it couldn’t come at a worse time. Investors are fleeing away from risk and to safety putting the market in a bearish unforgiving mood. Companies that have missed expectations have been absolutely smashed. According to FactSet, 70 per cent of S&P500 companies that have…

In the wake of Covid lockdowns in Shanghai, investors are being warned to remain alert to shifts in China’s zero covid policy. According to Datt Capital founder and chief investment officer, Emanuel Datt, “China is the engine room of the global economy, and any further extension of lockdowns geographically will weigh heavily on the global…

After months of central banks kicking the can down the road, inflation is beginning to entrench itself. Businesses are reporting rising input prices. Households are being hit with bigger bills. And markets continue to swing wildly. Here are five ASX shares to protect your portfolio from inflation. Supermarkets don’t exactly scream sexy, exciting, or invest…

Stockbroker and wealth manager Morgans has released its “best ideas” paper, which outlines the broker’s best ideas offering the highest risk-adjusted returns over a 12-month timeframe supported by a higher-than-average level of confidence. They are also the broker’s most preferred sector exposures. Here are six of its best picks: Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) – Large-cap idea –…

It’s been a bumpy ride for the BHP in 2022, with the share price of Australia’s now largest company resembling more of a rollercoaster than a blue-chip company. In the last two weeks alone, the BPH share price fell top to bottom 15% – eliminating $50 billion in market capitalisation – before recovering part of…

Only those who completely avoid any sort of media, social or traditional, would not be aware that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) this week hiked rates for the first time in more than a decade. Tuesday’s decision, which moved the cash rate from 0.1 to 0.35 per cent, has reverberated through the markets, however,…