Doug Goodwille from Kayne Anderson speaks to Drew Meredith from The Inside Network on market thinkers.
While a surging gold price is on hold as the world adjusts to a Trump presidency, all the factors that saw its price rise more than 50 per during his first term in office – trade disputes, fiscal deficits and geopolitical tensions – are almost certainly guaranteed the second time around.
Crown (ASX:CWN) jumps on fourth takeover bid
The Crown Resorts Ltd (ASX: CWN) share price has leapt 8% in morning trade after receiving a revised takeover bid of $13.10 per share from private equity outfit Blackstone.
Currently, the Crown share price is at $12.55 per share, 4.2% below the indicative offer price.
CWN share price
Fourth time lucky
In November, Blackstone proposed $12.50 per share for Crown, which was later declined by the Crown Board.
However, the casino giant allowed Blackstone access to non-public information to prepare a revised offer.
Today’s offer is Blackstone’s fourth attempt at securing full ownership. It currently holds a 9.99% shareholding.
Crown (ASX:CWN) share price under spotlight on takeover update
Any final bids?
After consulting its advisors, the Crown Board believes it is in the best interests of shareholders to vote in favour of the proposal, in the absence of a superior proposal and an independent expert concluding the transaction is in shareholders best interest.
“…it is the Crown Board’s current unanimous intention to recommend that shareholders vote in favour of the proposal”
The $13.10 per share offer remains subject to several conditions including:
- Completion of due diligence
- Unanimous support and recommendation by the Crown Board
- Execution of a binding Implementation Agreement
- Blackstone received final approval from the casino regulators in Victoria, NSW and WA
Notably, Blackstone has previously stated it is willing to proceed with the deal despite the uncertainty around state investigations in Victoria, NSW and WA.
Crown shareholders do not need to take any action at this stage.
Effectively, it’s the third and final bidding round.
Any other suitors need to make their intentions known.
Could Star Entertainment Group Ltd (ASX: SGR) come back to the table with a better offer, after its initial merger offer in May?
A bidding war is boosting the Crown (ASX:CWN) share price
Otherwise pending the aforementioned conditions, Crown will be sold to Blackstone.
My take
As flagged just two days ago, it makes sense for Crown to go private given the currently regulatory heat it’s receiving.
The company has previously flirted with private ownership but hasn’t led to anything but disappointment.
But with the Board now indicating it will recommend the $13.10 offer, this is a notable change in tune.
It wouldn’t surprise me if another bidder emerged. However, Blackstone seems to be in the box seat given its near 10% shareholding and due diligence headstart.
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