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Despite increased volatility emanating from the banking sector, tech stocks have been supported by falling bond yields on fears the global economy could slip into recession this year, with big-name companies leading the gains.
Recent buyers of homes are at the greatest risk of negative equity, and the rising interest rate environment increases the likelihood that some homebuyers will default on their loans. With Australia’s large cohort of new homeowners, that could lead to losses for the big banks.
With economists expecting the Australian dollar to strengthen this year, investors are looking to currency-hedged funds to remove FX exposure that threatens to erode the value of their international investments.
Highly anticipated new consumer price data showed the inflation rate in Australia hit its highest level since 1990 in the December quarter. But analysts are mixed on whether inflation will moderate later this year or become more entrenched.
Household wealth in September recorded its third largest quarterly decline since the Australian Bureau of Statistics began keeping records in 1989. And wealth is likely to keep falling in the coming quarters, as the lagged effects of interest rate hikes flow through.
Experts forecast a more balanced budget with an even-handed dispersion of revenue and spending measures. Income tax cuts will likely go ahead, while super should get a break from further tinkering.
The Australian share market is tipped to fall by up to 9 per cent in 2022 but to rise 5 per cent to 8 per cent over 2023, according to new forecasts from CommSec. While share prices have fallen this year, Australian companies remain well cashed up and profits sit at record highs, which will help to drive gains next year