rba

Higher net interest margins helped drive a nearly 17 per cent increase in the banks’ combined cash profits from a year ago. But a 400 per cent increase in their interest expenses and stiffer lending competition are contributing to a weaker outlook going forward, analysts say.

The March quarter’s Selected Living Cost Indexes – which include mortgage costs, giving a fuller view of inflation’s real impact than the Consumer Price Index – show employee households and mortgage holders both saw record increases in their cost of living. And with rate hikes continuing to flow through the economy, more pain is on the horizon.

Economists attributed the rebound partly to the market’s expectations that interest rates had peaked. But the other key driver – the drastic supply/demand imbalance – means higher prices, especially for rents, may be further complicating the central bank’s task.

With the Reserve Bank of Australia opting for a surprise 11th rate hike, Ruffer’s Duncan MacInnes looks at the impossible choice central banks around the world are facing: let inflation gather steam, or act and risk a financial system calamity.

The average annual interest rate on banks’ one- and three- year term deposits has risen to 3.2 per cent from 0.25 per cent over the past year. With markets expecting the official cash rate to peak soon, savers looking to lock in attractive rates will find the best deals with smaller, newer banks, analysts say.

In the first external review of the central bank in four decades, an expert panel has recommended a major shake-up, including the establishment of a new board responsible for monetary policy. RBA Governor Philip Lowe welcomed the changes while defending the current board’s decision-making capabilities.

AMP recently promoted senior economist Diana Mousina to a new role, deputy chief economist, in recognition of her achievements and succession path. Like other economists, Mousina sees a recession on the cards for Australia, although the timeline may be longer than many hope.

While the housing market shows faint signs of recovery following the RBA’s decision to pause interest rate hikes, those benefits have not yet begun to flow through to Australia’s rental market, new research shows, with all signs pointing to a long-term rental crisis.

Most borrowers have continued to service their debts despite rising interest rates, while the strong labour market has underpinned income growth. However, as debt levels rise, the share of Australian mortgage holders with disposable income is dropping, according to a new report.

As part of the RBA’s program exploring a potential Australian central bank digital currency, ANZ has successfully completed a tokenised carbon credit trade using a stablecoin backed by a pilot CBDC, with more use cases set to be tested soon.